Rothschild model: Trump with very clear lead in Missouri

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will end up with 99.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 44.3 percentage points less and Trump has 44.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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