The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in Illinois.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Illinois has Clinton at 54.0% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 45.0 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 41.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.3% in Illinois.