Rothschild model in Washington: Clinton with very clear lead

The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 95.0% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will end up with 5.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Washington econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.1%. This value is 40.9 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 39.9 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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