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Rothschild model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will obtain 95.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 5.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Oregon has Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 40.9 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 42.2 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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