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Rothschild model: In North Carolina trails by a very clear margin


The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 10.0% for Clinton and 90.0% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 38.8 percentage points less and Trump has 38.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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