Rothschild model: In New Mexico trails by a very clear margin

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 84.0% for Clinton and 16.0% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 30.7 percentage points more and Trump has 30.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.