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Rothschild model: In New Jersey trails by a very clear margin


The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will receive 99.0% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will win 1.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 41.7 percentage points more and Trump has 41.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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