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Rothschild model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in New Jersey.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 41.7 percentage points more and Trump has 41.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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