Rothschild model in Nevada: Trump is in the lead

The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.0% for Clinton and 61.0% for Trump in Nevada.

Nevada is traditionally a swing state, where Democrats and Republicans have often won similar voter support. This is why the election outcome in that state is considered critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 12.1 percentage points less and Trump has 12.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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