Rothschild model in Missouri: Trump with very clear lead
The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 1.0% for Clinton and 99.0% for Trump in Missouri.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 44.3 percentage points less and Trump has 44.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.