Rothschild model: In Minnesota trails by a very clear margin

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 76.0% for Clinton and 24.0% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 22.2 percentage points more and Trump has 22.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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