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Rothschild model: In Minnesota trails by a very clear margin


The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 76.0% for Clinton and 24.0% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 22.2 percentage points more and Trump has 22.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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