Rothschild model: In Minnesota trails by a very clear margin
The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 76.0% for Clinton and 24.0% for Trump in Minnesota.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 22.2 percentage points more and Trump has 22.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.