Rothschild model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 87.0% for Clinton and 13.0% for Trump in Michigan.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often include large biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 33.2 percentage points more and Trump has 33.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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