Rothschild model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 97.0% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 3.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 41.9 percentage points more and Trump has 41.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.