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Rothschild model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

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The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 99.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 57.3% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Indiana. Relative to his numbers in the Rothschild model Trump's econometric model average is 41.7 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Indiana, which is 43.5 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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