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Rothschild model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 99.0% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 1.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 45.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 45.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 41.8 percentage points more and Trump has 41.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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