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Rothschild model in Georgia: Trump with very clear lead


The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 1.0% for Clinton and 99.0% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 54.5% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Georgia. This value is 44.5 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Rothschild model for Trump are thus 46.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.1% in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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