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Rothschild model: In Georgia trails by a very clear margin


The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 99.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can include large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 44.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 44.5 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 46.9 percentage points less and Trump has 46.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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