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Rothschild model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 99.0% for Clinton and 1.0% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 43.6 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 43.6 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 43.8 percentage points more and Trump has 43.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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