The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 98.0% for Clinton and 2.0% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 55.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Connecticut. This value is 42.9 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Rothschild model.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 43.4 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model.