The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 98.0% for Clinton and 2.0% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 42.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 42.9 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 43.4 percentage points more and Trump has 43.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.