Rothschild model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 98.0% for Clinton and 2.0% for Trump in Connecticut.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 42.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 42.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 43.4 percentage points more and Trump has 43.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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