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Rothschild model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead


The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will garner 1.0% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 99.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 41.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 41.7 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 45.0 percentage points less and Trump has 45.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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