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Rothschild model: Clinton with very clear lead in Michigan


The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 87.0% for Clinton and 13.0% for Trump in Michigan.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 33.2 percentage points more and Trump has 33.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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