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Rothschild model: Clinton with very clear lead in Colorado


The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 68.0% for Clinton and 32.0% for Trump in Colorado.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Colorado sees Clinton at 52.0% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Rothschild model Clinton's econometric model average is 16.0 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Rothschild model for Clinton are thus 14.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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