Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in West Virginia
The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 37.2 percentage points less and Trump has 37.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for West Virginia.