The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
In Virginia, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.