The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 60.9 percentage points less and Trump has 60.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Vermont.