Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Tennessee
The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 43.5 percentage points less and Trump has 43.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Tennessee.