The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.