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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Dakota

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The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 40.7 percentage points less and Trump has 40.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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