Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Carolina
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 44.6 percentage points less and Trump has 44.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Carolina.