Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Rhode Island
The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 63.0 percentage points less and Trump has 63.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Rhode Island.