Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Pennsylvania

The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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