The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.
In Ohio, the election outcome is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.