The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 40.3 percentage points less and Trump has 40.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Dakota.