Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Dakota

The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 40.3 percentage points less and Trump has 40.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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