Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Dakota
The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.