Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.