The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 60.8 percentage points less and Trump has 60.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New York.