Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in New York

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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