The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
New Hampshire is traditionally a battleground state, where the two major political parties have often achieved similar levels of voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is viewed as important in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.