The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Nevada is traditionally a battleground state, where the GOP and the Democrats have historically won similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is viewed as crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.