Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Missouri

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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