Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Massachusetts

The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 64.3 percentage points less and Trump has 64.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.