Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Louisiana
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.