Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Louisiana

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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