Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Kentucky
The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 40.8 percentage points less and Trump has 40.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kentucky.