Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Kansas

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 42.1 percentage points less and Trump has 42.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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