The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.