Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Idaho

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 35.0 percentage points less and Trump has 35.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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