The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 35.0 percentage points less and Trump has 35.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Idaho.