Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Hawaii
The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.