The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Historically, Florida has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions in this state are of particular interest.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.